2020 Draft Discussion

BUTTON_POST_REPLY
User avatar
Shoalzie
PostsCOLON 12673
JoinedCOLON Mon May 03, 2010 7:28 pm
LocationCOLON Portland, MI
CONTACTCOLON

2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Shoalzie »

Lottery watch:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing

Lottery order hasn't been finalized due to Boston's adjusted points have yet to be calculated.


I have the top 3 pick odds posted but here's the expanded odds:
http://www.tankathon.com/nhl/pick_odds
DETROIT RED WINGS | ROSTER | FANTRAX
User avatar
Da_Hawks
PostsCOLON 2706
JoinedCOLON Mon Dec 18, 2017 9:27 am
LocationCOLON Ottawa

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Da_Hawks »

Stupid lottery draft. Great for the NHL, worse thing to happy to fantasy hockey.
Image
User avatar
Shoalzie
PostsCOLON 12673
JoinedCOLON Mon May 03, 2010 7:28 pm
LocationCOLON Portland, MI
CONTACTCOLON

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Shoalzie »

I have each of our 15 slots matched with the respective NHL team. Maybe we'll know our draft order by Friday night.
DETROIT RED WINGS | ROSTER | FANTRAX
User avatar
Matthew
PostsCOLON 13682
JoinedCOLON Wed Oct 08, 2014 3:29 pm

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Matthew »

I believe with my 2 picks I'm at 22.5% to get at least one lottery spot. Not great odds, but wouldn't it be nice.
ANAHEIM DUCKS | FANTRAX |
User avatar
kimmer
PostsCOLON 18090
JoinedCOLON Thu Sep 02, 2010 2:25 pm
LocationCOLON Ontario, Canada

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by kimmer »

are we gonna have a compiled final draft order for our league yet?
User avatar
Matthew
PostsCOLON 13682
JoinedCOLON Wed Oct 08, 2014 3:29 pm

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Matthew »

1-15 is at top of thread.

Except it's wrong, as it should have me 1st and 2nd.
ANAHEIM DUCKS | FANTRAX |
User avatar
dave1959
PostsCOLON 5138
JoinedCOLON Wed Oct 02, 2013 8:43 pm
LocationCOLON Ontario

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by dave1959 »

and Boston is the only team that cannot win the lottery, correct?
User avatar
Shoalzie
PostsCOLON 12673
JoinedCOLON Mon May 03, 2010 7:28 pm
LocationCOLON Portland, MI
CONTACTCOLON

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Shoalzie »

Regardless of the lottery results, I'll finalize the balance of the draft order tonight.
DETROIT RED WINGS | ROSTER | FANTRAX
User avatar
kimmer
PostsCOLON 18090
JoinedCOLON Thu Sep 02, 2010 2:25 pm
LocationCOLON Ontario, Canada

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by kimmer »

yea i wanted to see the rest of 16-31
User avatar
kyuss
PostsCOLON 14876
JoinedCOLON Thu May 06, 2010 12:54 pm

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by kyuss »

is there a place where to see the correspondence between the NHL teams and BBKL teams ahead of tonight's lottery?
User avatar
Matthew
PostsCOLON 13682
JoinedCOLON Wed Oct 08, 2014 3:29 pm

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Matthew »

Doesn't matter. Anaheim #1 + #2
Last edited by 1 on Matthew, edited 0 times in total.
ANAHEIM DUCKS | FANTRAX |
User avatar
Shoalzie
PostsCOLON 12673
JoinedCOLON Mon May 03, 2010 7:28 pm
LocationCOLON Portland, MI
CONTACTCOLON

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Shoalzie »

kyuss wroteCOLONis there a place where to see the correspondence between the NHL teams and BBKL teams ahead of tonight's lottery?
In the opening post:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... jqBtc/edit
DETROIT RED WINGS | ROSTER | FANTRAX
User avatar
Shoalzie
PostsCOLON 12673
JoinedCOLON Mon May 03, 2010 7:28 pm
LocationCOLON Portland, MI
CONTACTCOLON

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Shoalzie »

I think tonight is more about how they present the results more than the actual results. If any of those 8 teams move up to the top 3, I hope they say which one it is. We can put our draft order together if all they tell us is tell us who is in top 3. We can figure out that if Detroit (NHL)/Chicago (BBKL) doesn't end up with a top 3 pick, we know they're 4th overall.

If any of those 8 move up, then their draft order will have 8 spots undetermined until they do that next draw. If they have to do a 2nd draw, that result could be wild given the even odds for all 8 spots. Pittsburgh, Edmonton or Carolina getting top 3 pick...yikes. But that would mean they got bounced way too early.

If the top 3 is drama-free, then we can predict what the NHL's order will end up. Montreal or Chicago would be in the #8 spot most likely. If the qualifying round has a lot of surprises, the draft order could be interesting.

Also what's fun is the fact it seems there's various opinions of who slots in after Lafreniere. Doesn't seem like Byfield is the consensus #2.

The Wings still need defense help the most but it seems like a top 4 pick should yield them a forward. Would Yzerman go with Drysdale is they slide to #4? If they don't get #1, I really don't care either end up #2, #3 or #4. Lafreniere is the prize.
DETROIT RED WINGS | ROSTER | FANTRAX
User avatar
Matthew
PostsCOLON 13682
JoinedCOLON Wed Oct 08, 2014 3:29 pm

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Matthew »

Shoalzie wroteCOLONI think tonight is more about how they present the results more than the actual results. If any of those 8 teams move up to the top 3, I hope they say which one it is. We can put our draft order together if all they tell us is tell us who is in top 3. We can figure out that if Detroit (NHL)/Chicago (BBKL) doesn't end up with a top 3 pick, we know they're 4th overall.
Maybe I'm the only one, but the actual results are pretty important to me. :-P
ANAHEIM DUCKS | FANTRAX |
User avatar
kimmer
PostsCOLON 18090
JoinedCOLON Thu Sep 02, 2010 2:25 pm
LocationCOLON Ontario, Canada

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by kimmer »

Shoalzie wroteCOLON
kyuss wroteCOLONis there a place where to see the correspondence between the NHL teams and BBKL teams ahead of tonight's lottery?
In the opening post:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... jqBtc/edit
IF i would share my devised standings... (attached image)
I know that ANA had 1291 pts and FLA had 1254 pts in BBKL... so why does ANA become Team H?
Attachments
FFF.jpg
User avatar
Matthew
PostsCOLON 13682
JoinedCOLON Wed Oct 08, 2014 3:29 pm

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Matthew »

Florida made the playoffs.
ANAHEIM DUCKS | FANTRAX |
User avatar
kimmer
PostsCOLON 18090
JoinedCOLON Thu Sep 02, 2010 2:25 pm
LocationCOLON Ontario, Canada

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by kimmer »

nm right
i confused myself
looked deceiving
User avatar
Shoalzie
PostsCOLON 12673
JoinedCOLON Mon May 03, 2010 7:28 pm
LocationCOLON Portland, MI
CONTACTCOLON

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Shoalzie »

Our lottery teams are the same regardless of us not finishing the playoffs. Florida was the lowest seeded of the playoff teams so their spot is #16 but Vancouver owns that pick.

The current order (pre-lottery) is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... 1885971352
DETROIT RED WINGS | ROSTER | FANTRAX
User avatar
Shoalzie
PostsCOLON 12673
JoinedCOLON Mon May 03, 2010 7:28 pm
LocationCOLON Portland, MI
CONTACTCOLON

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Shoalzie »

Damn, Paul...just looking at the order...5 picks in the top 32. This could be a game-changing draft for you.
DETROIT RED WINGS | ROSTER | FANTRAX
User avatar
Shoalzie
PostsCOLON 12673
JoinedCOLON Mon May 03, 2010 7:28 pm
LocationCOLON Portland, MI
CONTACTCOLON

Re: 2020 Draft Discussion

Post by Shoalzie »

I was working on my own draft simulator and it's interesting how similar my Excel simulator is to their process.

They use 1000 "IDs" for the picks. The Wings at #1 get 185 "sequences" of the 1000 4-number sequences (18.5%) while Team H gets 10 of 1000 (1.0%). Each sequence is a number (ball) 1 through 14 where no number is repeated.

In Excel, I did 1000 "lots" with 185 for the #1 team (18.5%). I created combinations using several random numbers and the combination that would be "drawn" gets the pick. Fairly similar process but they narrowed down to 1 through 14 as the possible values and only 4 balls draw to create a sequence.
DETROIT RED WINGS | ROSTER | FANTRAX
BUTTON_POST_REPLY

Return to